AXT Valuation

AXTI Stock  USD 23.81  0.27  1.15%   
At this time, the firm appears to be overvalued. AXT Inc shows a prevailing Real Value of $21.96 per share. The current price of the firm is $23.81. Our model approximates the value of AXT Inc from analyzing the firm fundamentals such as return on equity of -0.0988, and Profit Margin of (0.25) % as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting AXT's valuation include:
Price Book
7.6294
Enterprise Value
1.4 B
Enterprise Value Ebitda
75.6296
Price Sales
14.56
Forward PE
24.2131
Overvalued
Today
23.81
Please note that AXT's price fluctuation is somewhat reliable at this time. Calculation of the real value of AXT Inc is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing AXT's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Since AXT is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of AXT Stock. However, AXT's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  23.81 Real  21.96 Target  21.88 Hype  27.67 Naive  27.65
The intrinsic value of AXT's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow or dividend analysis. That value may differ from its market price, which is determined by factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, headlines, and other external factors that may influence AXT's stock price.
21.96
Real Value
30.43
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of AXT Inc helps investors to forecast how AXT stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of AXT more accurately as focusing exclusively on AXT's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates
LowProjectedHigh
-0.03-0.020.02
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
19.2027.6736.14
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
19.1927.6536.12
Details
5 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
19.9121.8824.28
Details
When choosing an evaluation method for AXT Inc, ensure it is appropriate for the firm given its current financial situation and market classification. If more than one evaluation category is relevant, we suggest using all methods to arrive at a better estimate.

AXT Cash

30.51 Million

AXT Revenue by Product

AXT Total Value Analysis

AXT Inc is presently anticipated to have valuation of 1.38 B with market capitalization of 1.32 B, debt of 49.78 M, and cash on hands of 40.12 M. Please note that valuation may be misleading and is a subject to auditing or accounting errors. We encourage investors to vigilantly validate all of the AXT fundamentals before making equity appraisal based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
1.38 B
1.32 B
49.78 M
40.12 M

AXT Investor Information

About 53.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.53. AXT Inc had not issued any dividends in recent years. Based on the key indicators related to AXT's liquidity, profitability, solvency, and operating efficiency, AXT Inc is not in a good financial situation at this time. It has a very high probability of going through financial hardship in March.

AXT Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. AXT has an asset utilization ratio of 29.28 percent. This signifies that the Company is making $0.29 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that AXT Inc is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

AXT Profitability Analysis

Based on AXT's profitability indicators, AXT Inc may not be well positioned to generate adequate gross income at this time. It has a very high probability of underperforming in March. Profitability indicators assess AXT's ability to earn profits and add value for shareholders.
 
Net Loss  
First Reported
1998-03-31
Previous Quarter
-7 M
Current Value
-1.9 M
Quarterly Volatility
5.9 M
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
The AXT's current Gross Profit Margin is estimated to increase to 0.21, while Gross Profit is projected to decrease to under 26.2 M.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Gross Profit Margin0.210.1273
Way Up
Slightly volatile
For AXT profitability analysis, we use financial ratios and fundamental drivers that measure the ability of AXT Inc to generate income relative to revenue, assets, operating costs, and current equity. These fundamental indicators attest to how well AXT utilizes its assets to generate profit and value for its shareholders. The profitability module also shows relationships between AXT's most relevant fundamental drivers. It provides multiple suggestions of what could affect the performance of AXT over time as well as its relative position and ranking within its peers.

AXT Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

The next projected EPS of AXT is estimated to be -0.0175 with future projections ranging from a low of -0.03 to a high of 0.02. AXT's most recent 12-month trailing earnings per share (EPS TTM) is at -0.53. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for AXT Inc is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
AXT is projected to generate -0.0175 in earnings per share on the 30th of June 2026. AXT earnings estimates show analyst consensus about projected AXT EPS (Earning Per Share). It derives the highest and the lowest estimates based on AXT's historical volatility. Many public companies, such as AXT, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm.

AXT Earnings Estimation Breakdown

The calculation of AXT's earning per share is based on the data from the past 12 consecutive months, used for reporting the company's financial figures. The next projected EPS of AXT is estimated to be -0.0175 with the future projection ranging from a low of -0.03 to a high of 0.02. Please be aware that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for AXT Inc is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
Last Reported EPS
0.0
-0.03
Lowest
Expected EPS
-0.0175
0.02
Highest

AXT Earnings Projection Consensus

Suppose the current estimates of AXT's value are higher than the current market price of the AXT stock. In this case, investors may conclude that AXT is overpriced and will exhibit bullish sentiment. On the other hand, if the present value is lower than the stock price, analysts may conclude that the market undervalues the equity. These scenarios may suggest that the market is not as efficient as it should be at the estimation time, and AXT's stock will quickly adjusts to the new information provided by the consensus estimate.
Number of AnalystsHistorical AccuracyLast Reported EPSEstimated EPS for 30th of June 2026Current EPS (TTM)
555.03%
0.0
-0.0175
-0.53

AXT Ownership Allocation

AXT holds a total of 55.27 Million outstanding shares. Over half of AXT's outstanding shares are owned by other corporate entities. These other corporate entities are typically referred to as corporate investors that acquire positions in a given instrument to benefit from reduced trade commissions. Please note that no matter how many assets the company secures, if the real value of the firm is less than the current market value, you may not be able to make money on it.

AXT Profitability Analysis

The company reported the previous year's revenue of 99.36 M. Net Loss for the year was (11.79 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 10.82 M.

About AXT Valuation

An absolute valuation paradigm, as applied to AXT Stock, attempts to find the value of AXT Inc based on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. By analyzing AXT's financials, quarterly and monthly indicators, and their related drivers, such as dividends, operating cash flow, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of AXT's intrinsic value. In some cases, mostly for established, large-cap companies, we also incorporate more traditional valuation methods such as dividend discount, discounted cash flow, or asset-based models. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of AXT. We calculate exposure to AXT's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of AXT's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit27.4 M26.2 M
Pretax Profit Margin(0.24)(0.23)
Operating Profit Margin(0.25)(0.24)
Net Loss(0.24)(0.23)
Gross Profit Margin 0.13  0.21 

AXT Growth Indicators

Growth stocks usually refer to those companies expected to grow sales and earnings faster than the market average. Growth stocks typically don't pay dividends, often look expensive, and usually trading at a high P/E ratio. Nevertheless, such valuations could be relatively cheap if the company continues to grow, which will drive the share price up. However, since most investors are paying a high price for a growth stock, based on expectations, if those expectations are not fully realized, growth stocks can see dramatic declines.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding43.2 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y-0.571
Forward Price Earnings24.2131

AXT Current Valuation Indicators

Valuation refers to the process of determining the present value of AXT Inc and all of its assets. It can be calculated using a number of techniques. As many analysts who try to value AXT we look at many different elements of the entity such as AXT's management, its prospective future earnings, the current market value of the company's assets, as well as its capital structure formation.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as AXT, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use AXT's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes AXT's worth.

Complementary Tools for AXT Stock analysis

When running AXT's price analysis, check to measure AXT's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy AXT is operating at the current time. Most of AXT's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of AXT's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move AXT's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of AXT to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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